New calculations touted by Southern California Earthquake Center and California Geological Survey predicted that there's a 99.7 percent likelihood an earthquake with a magnitude of 6.7 or greater will occur in California within the next 30 years. A 7.5 magnitude or greater quake will only have a 46 percent chance of occurring.
The likelihood Southern Californians will experience an earthquake 6.7 or greater is 97 percent, while its northern neighbors is only 93 percent. The greater Los Angeles area and the San Francisco Bay Area have probabilities of 67 percent and 63 percent, respectively.
Got all that?
To summarize, the SCEC is nearly 100 percent certain an earthquake with a magnitude of 6.7 or greater will occur in California within the next 30 years. If one is to occur, it will mostly likely occur in Southern California. The two metropolitan areas at the greatest risk are Los Angeles and San Francisco.
Readers are advised that there lies, damned lies and statistics.